HomeRenters InsuranceFirst Quarter 2025 Shareholder Report - Insurance News

First Quarter 2025 Shareholder Report – Insurance News


2025 First Quarter Report

THE PROGRESSIVE CORPOR ATION

Three Months Ended

March 31,

Years Ended December 31,

(billions – except per share amounts)

Net premiums written

2025

$ 22.2

2024

$ 19.0

20242023

$ 74.4 $ 61.6

2022

$ 51.1

2021

$ 46.4

Growth over prior period

17 %

18 %

21 % 20 %

10 %

14 %

Net premiums earned

$ 19.4

$ 16.1

$ 70.8 $ 58.7

$ 49.2

$ 44.4

Growth over prior period

20 %

19 %

21 % 19 %

11 %

13 %

Total revenues

$ 20.4

$ 17.2

$ 75.4 $ 62.1

$ 49.6

$ 47.7

Net income

$ 2.6

$ 2.3

$ 8.5 $ 3.9

$ 0.7

$ 3.4

Per common share

$ 4.37

$ 3.94

$ 14.40 $ 6.58

$ 1.18

$ 5.66

Underwriting margin

14.0 %

13.9 %

11.2 % 5.1 %

4.2 %

4.7 %

(billions – except shares outstanding, per share amounts, and policies in force)

At Period-End

Common shares outstanding (millions)

586.2

585.7

585.8 585.3

584.9

584.4

Book value per common share

$ 49.39

$ 37.24

$ 43.69 $ 33.80

$ 26.32

$ 30.35

Consolidated shareholders’ equity

$ 29.0

$ 21.8

$ 25.6 $ 20.3

$ 15.9

$ 18.2

Common share close price

$ 283.01

$ 206.82

$ 239.61 $ 159.28

$ 129.71

$ 102.65

Market capitalization

$ 165.9

$ 121.1

$ 140.4 $ 93.2

$ 75.9

$ 60.0

Retuon average common shareholders’ equity – trailing 12 months

Net income

34.2 %

31.9 %

35.5 % 22.9 %

4.4 %

18.6 %

Comprehensive income (loss)

39.3 %

34.0 %

36.4 % 30.0 %

(13.5)%

13.6 %

Policies in force (thousands)

Personal Lines

Agency auto

10,146

8,593

9,778 8,336

7,767

7,879

Direct auto

14,771

11,855

13,996 11,190

10,131

9,568

Special lines

6,637

6,076

6,520 5,969

5,558

5,289

Property

3,576

3,209

3,517 3,096

2,851

2,776

Total Personal Lines

35,130

29,733

33,811 28,591

26,307

25,512

Growth over prior period

18 %

7 %

18 % 9 %

3 %

7 %

Commercial Lines

1,162

1,101

1,141 1,099

1,046

971

Growth over prior period

6 %

3 %

4 % 5 %

8 %

18 %

Companywide total

36,292

30,834

34,952 29,690

27,353

26,483

Growth over prior period

18 %

7 %

18 % 9 %

3 %

7 %

Private passenger auto insurance market1

|||||||||||||

|||||||||||||

NA $ 306.5

$ 268.0

$ 252.9

Market share2

|||||||||||||

|||||||||||||

NA 15.6 %

14.4 %

14.1 %

Stock Price Appreciation (Depreciation)3

Progressive

20.4 %

30.5 %

51.4 % 23.2 %

26.8 %

10.8 %

S&P 500

(4.3)%

10.6 %

25.0 % 26.3 %

(18.1)%

28.7 %

The Progressive Corporation and Subsidiaries Financial Highlights

NA = Final comparable industry data will not be available until our third quarter 2025 report.

1Represents net premiums written as reported by A.M. Best Company, Inc.

2Represents Progressive’s private passenger auto business, including motorcycle insurance, as a percent of the private passenger auto insurance market.

3Represents average compounded rate of increase (decrease) and assumes dividend reinvestment.

Letter to Shareholders First Quarter 2025

I would characterize the first quarter of 2025 as very successful and, more importantly, stable. With all that is going on outside of our walls related to foreign trade and tariffs, we have really focused on trying to maintain stable rates for our customers and taking care of them in their time of need. As I had stated in the last investor relations call, we have a team that crunches the data on anticipated magnitude and severity and what increased tariffs might mean to our loss costs. We have a variety of scenarios that we are running and, as it plays out in real time, we plan to react swiftly should we need to.

For the quarter, companywide net premiums written (NPW) grew 17%, compared to the first quarter last year, and the combined ratio (CR) was 86.0. We also had very impressive policies in force (PIF) growth, with nearly 5.5 million more PIFs than the end of the first quarter last year, bringing our total PIF count to over 36 million at March 31, 2025. Even with this level of unit growth, because we hire in advance of need in claims and our call centers, this massive growth hasn’t strained our ability to provide high-quality customer service.

In Personal Lines (auto, special lines, and property), the first quarter 2025 delivered another period of exceptional growth and profitability. The quarter ended with over 35 million PIFs, representing 18% year-over-year (YOY) growth. NPW grew 20% YOY at a CR of 85.7. During the first quarter, our personal vehicle businesses continued to experience both strong policy and premium growth, while personal property remained focused on profitable growth in less volatile areas and reducing concentration in regions more prone to catastrophes.

We began 2025 open for business in almost all states for our personal auto product. Since the first quarter of the year is peak shopping season, we invested heavily in advertising and used agent reward incentives to drive consumer shopping. As a result of these efforts, new personal auto applications grew 32% YOY. While rate activity was minimal during the first quarter, we are closely monitoring the tariffs that might impact the auto sector, as well as other aspects of our business, and are regularly modeling how those could impact our loss costs, the supply chain, the availability of parts, and general inflation.

Our latest auto product offering, model 8.9, was in 21 states that represented 40% of companywide personal auto premium, on a trailing 12-month basis, at the end of the first quarter 2025. The 8.9 model contains new and expanded use of external data and introduces Progressive vehicle protection, a new mechanical breakdown coverage that runs concurrent with Progressive auto insurance to help consumers manage the cost of unforeseen vehicle repairs. Our preferred business is showing the most promising response to the model. Overall, we are seeing favorable conversion results in both the agency and direct auto channels. At quarter end, continuous monitoring in our Snapshot®product model 5.0, which includes a feature in the Progressive app that can detect major accidents and quickly connect customers to towing and emergency services, was deployed in 41 states that represented 78% of our trailing 12-month personal auto NPW (excluding California).

Personal property ended the first quarter with a CR of 87.2, which is 6.2 points better than first quarter 2024, and includes about 3.7 points of favorable prior accident year development, primarily related to prior-year weather events. We ended the quarter with over 3.5 million PIFs, which are up 11% over first quarter 2024, driven primarily by growth in our renters business. NPW were flat, compared to first quarter 2024, driven by a shift in mix towards renters, which have lower average written premiums, and our continued actions to deliberately slow growth and non-renew policies in certain geographic regions where we are de-risking.

We continue to focus on improving profitability and reducing exposure in markets more susceptible to catastrophic weather events. We also continue to prioritize insuring lower-risk properties (e.g., new construction, existing homes with newer roofs), accepting new business for homeowners/condo products only when bundled with a Progressive personal auto policy, where permitted, and exiting the non-owner-occupied home market. For our homeowners/ condo products, PIFs were up about 14% in states where we are looking to expand our footprint and down 12% in higher-risk states where we are looking to reduce our exposure.

Advancing our segmentation capabilities in personal property is a continued focus and, through the end of the first quarter 2025, we had elevated our next generation product models of 5.0 or higher in 22 states that represented 62% of our trailing 12-month homeowners product NPW. Key features include expanded peril rating and the introduction of new rating variables. We also continued to take rate where needed and increased our personal property rates about 2%, in the aggregate, in the first quarter 2025, bringing the trailing 12-month aggregate rate increase to about 15%.

Our Commercial Lines (CL) business finished the quarter with NPW growth of 5% at an 87.5 CR. Premium growth in the business auto and contractor business market targets (BMT) and the transportation network company business were each a notable contributor to overall CL growth during the quarter.

Core commercial auto NPW growth was flat for the quarter despite having positive PIF growth due to a shift in the mix of business. We continued to see strong growth in our business auto and contractor BMTs during the quarter, driven by quote and conversion improvements, but also continued to face challenges in our for-hire trucking and for-hire specialty BMTs, which have higher premiums per policy than our business auto and contractor BMTs.

The commercial auto industry (excluding Progressive) ended the year at an estimated 111.4 CR. Industry data indicates competitors are taking rate increases. Council of Insurance Agents & Brokers (CIAB) survey data from the fourth quarter 2024, shows commercial auto rate increases are the highest across all the commercial lines CIAB monitors and were consistently in the high single-digits during 2024. We expect our rates to become more competitive as industry rate levels increase.

On the capital management side, we came into 2025 with a robust capital position and that has proved beneficial as we continued to grow during the first quarter. Even as we experienced turbulent markets and strong premium growth during the quarter, we were able to generate significant capital through positive cash flows and investment returns and ended the quarter with a debt-to-total capital ratio of 19.2%, which remains near the lower end of our historical range. We believe that the combination of operational momentum and our strong capital position will continue to allow us to pursue robust profitable growth.

In the first quarter of 2025, our investment portfolio saw a retuof 2.2%. Macroeconomic uncertainty rose significantly during the quarter, impacting market returns. Our fixed-income retuwas 2.5% for the quarter as yields dropped. Our equity portfolio returned -5.0% as market prices decreased significantly versus a 9.9% increase in first quarter 2024, contributing to a substantial decline in this component of net income. Our investment portfolio remains in a conservative posture and is highly liquid with 56% of our portfolio in short-term securities or treasury bonds.

As I often do, I like to share comments from our customers. This one felt really special because we spend a lot of time making sure each customer feels confident that they are getting great coverage, service, and rates. We seek to respect each customer as an individual, and not just another number, and to build that care into all aspects of our communications.

Courtney’s comments summarize how we want every interaction to be, which is easy, clear, and straightforward.

Dear Progressive Team,

I just wanted to take a moment to say how easy and stress-free it was to purchase my car and renters insurance through your website. I was expecting a long, complicated process, but instead, everything was super straightforward. The site was simple to navigate, loved the customizable options in the dropdowns, and I really appreciated how clear all the coverage options were-it made choosing the right policy an absolute breeze.

Sure, I can talk about how “Getting a quote was quick” and “Bundling my policies saved me both time and money”… which is always a huge plus, BUT what made your company stand out is – I never once felt lost or confused during the process, which isn’t always the case when dealing with insurance!

So, I just wanted to send a quick “thank you” for making everything so easy. I’ll definitely be recommending Progressive to friends and family!

Tired mom of two 16yr olds, a 15yr old, and 14yr old Courtney

We head into the second quarter 2025 excited about the opportunities that lie ahead of us as we aim to remain nimble as events of the world unfold.

Stay well and be kind to others,

Tricia Griffith

President and Chief Executive Officer

Financial Policies

Progressive balances operating risk with risk of investing and financing activities in order to have sufficient capital to support all the insurance we can profitably underwrite and service. Risks arise in all operational and functional areas, and, therefore, must be assessed holistically, accounting for the offsetting and compounding effects of the separate sources of risk within Progressive.

We use risk management tools to quantify the amount of capital needed, in addition to surplus, to absorb consequences of events such as unfavorable loss reserve development, litigation, weather-related catastrophes, and investment-market corrections. Our financial policies define our allocation of risk and we measure our performance against them. We will invest capital in expanding business operations when, in our view, future opportunities meet our financial objectives and policies. Under-leveraged capital will be returned to investors. We expect to eaa retuon equity greater than its cost. Presented is an overview of Progressive’s Operating, Investing, and Financing policies.

Operating Maintain pricing and reserving discipline

  • Manage profitability targets and operational performance at our lowest level of product definition

  • Sustain premiums-to-surplus ratios at efficient levels, and at or below applicable state regulations, for each insurance subsidiary

  • Ensure loss reserves are adequate and develop with minimal variance

    Investing Maintain a liquid, diversified, high-quality investment portfolio

  • Manage on a total retubasis

  • Manage interest rate, credit, prepayment, extension, and concentration risk

  • Allocate portfolio between two groups:

    • Group I – Target 0% to 25% (common equities; nonredeemable preferred stocks; redeemable preferred stocks, except for 50% of investment-grade redeemable preferred stocks with cumulative dividends; and all other non-investment-grade fixed-maturity securities)

    • Group II – Target 75% to 100% (short-term securities and all other fixed-maturity securities)

      Financing Maintain sufficient capital to support our business

  • Maintain debt below 30% of total capital at book value

  • Neutralize dilution from equity-based compensation in the year of issuance through share repurchases

  • Use under-leveraged capital to repurchase shares and pay dividends

Objectives and Policy Scorecard

Three Months Ended March 31,

Target 2025

Years Ended December 31,

5 Years1

10 Years1

2024

2023

2022

Underwriting margin:

Progressive2

4 %

14.0 %

11.2 %

5.1 %

4.2 %

7.6 %

7.6 %

Industry3

na

|||||||||||||

|||||||||||||

(4.6) %

(11.8) %

(1.4)%

(1.7)%

Net premiums written growth:

Progressive

(a)

17 %

21 %

20 %

10 %

15 %

15 %

Industry3

na

|||||||||||||

|||||||||||||

14 %

6 %

5 %

6 %

Policies in force growth:

Personal Lines

Agency – auto

(a)

18 %

17 %

7 %

(1) %

7 %

8 %

Direct – auto

(a)

25 %

25 %

10 %

6 %

12 %

12 %

Special lines

(a)

9 %

9 %

7 %

5 %

7 %

5 %

Property

(a)

11 %

14 %

9 %

3 %

10 %

nm

Commercial Lines

(a)

6 %

4 %

5 %

8 %

9 %

8 %

Companywide premiums-to-surplus ratio

(b)

na

2.7

2.8

2.9

na

na

Investment allocation:

Group I

≤25 %

5 %

6 %

7 %

10 %

na

na

Group II

≥75 %

95 %

94 %

93 %

90 %

na

na

Debt-to-total capital ratio

<30 %

19.2 %

21.2 %

25.4 %

28.7 %

na

na

Retuon average common shareholders’ equity

– trailing 12 months:

Net income

(c)

34.2 %

35.5 %

22.9 %

4.4 %

24.4 %

23.6 %

Comprehensive income (loss)

(c)

39.3 %

36.4 %

30.0 %

(13.5) %

22.4 %

22.8 %

  1. Grow as fast as possible, constrained only by our profitability objective and our ability to provide high-quality customer service.

  2. Determined separately for each insurance subsidiary.

  3. Progressive does not have a predetermined target for retuon average common shareholders’ equity. na = not applicable.

    nm = not meaningful; personal property business written by Progressive prior to April 2015 was negligible.

    1Represents results over the respective time period; growth represents average annual compounded rate of increase (decrease) as of December 31, 2024.

    2Expressed as a percentage of net premiums earned. Underwriting profit (loss) is calculated by subtracting losses and loss adjustment expenses, policy acquisition costs, and other underwriting expenses from the total of net premiums earned and fees and other revenues.

    3Industry results represent private passenger auto insurance market data as reported by A.M. Best Company, Inc. The industry underwriting margin excludes the effect of policyholder dividends. Final comparable industry data for 2024 will not be available until our third quarter 2025 report. The 5- and 10-year growth rates are presented on a one-year lag basis for the industry.

    The Progressive Corporation and Subsidiaries Operating Results

    Personal Lines Business

    Commercial Lines

    ($ in billions)

    Vehicles

    Property

    Total

    Business

    Net premiums written

    Three months ended March 31,

    2025

    $ 17.6

    $ 0.7

    $ 18.3

    $ 3.9

    2024

    14.5

    0.7

    15.2

    3.7

    Growth over prior period

    Net premiums earned

    21 %

    0 %

    20 %

    5 %

    Three months ended March 31,

    2025

    $ 15.9

    $ 0.8

    $ 16.7

    $ 2.7

    2024

    12.9

    0.7

    13.6

    2.6

    Growth over prior period

    24 %

    9 %

    23 %

    6 %

    March 31,

    2025

    31,554

    3,576

    35,130

    1,162

    2024

    26,524

    3,209

    29,733

    1,101

    Growth over prior period

    19 %

    11 %

    18 %

    6 %

    (# in thousands) Policies in Force

    Underwriting Ratios

    Three months ended March 31,

    Loss and loss adjustment expense ratio – 2025

    65.4

    67.8

    Underwriting expense ratio – 2025

    20.3

    19.7

    Combined ratio – 2025

    85.7

    87.5

    Combined ratio – 2024

    85.0

    91.8

    Change over prior period

    0.7 pts.

    (4.3)

    pts.

    The Progressive Corporation and Subsidiaries

    Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income

    (unaudited)

    Three Months Ended March 31,

    2025

    2024

    (millions – except per share amounts)

    Revenues

    Net premiums earned

    $ 19,409

    $ 16,149

    Investment income

    814

    618

    Net realized gains (losses) on securities:

    Net realized gains (losses) on security sales

    1

    (146)

    Net holding period gains (losses) on securities

    (213)

    302

    Total net realized gains (losses) on securities

    (212)

    156

    Fees and other revenues

    287

    236

    Service revenues

    111

    84

    Total revenues

    20,409

    17,243

    Expenses

    Losses and loss adjustment expenses

    12,804

    10,972

    Policy acquisition costs

    1,456

    1,232

    Other underwriting expenses

    2,719

    1,931

    Investment expenses

    7

    6

    Service expenses

    117

    92

    Interest expense

    70

    70

    Total expenses

    17,173

    14,303

    Net Income

    Income before income taxes

    3,236

    2,940

    Provision for income taxes

    669

    609

    Net income

    2,567

    2,331

    Other Comprehensive Income (Loss)

    Decrease (increase) in total net unrealized losses on fixed-maturity securities

    899

    (208)

    Comprehensive income (loss)

    $ 3,466

    $ 2,123

    Computation of Earnings Per Common Share

    Net income

    $ 2,567

    $ 2,331

    Less: Preferred share dividends and other1

    0

    17

    Net income available to common shareholders

    $ 2,567

    $ 2,314

    Average common shares outstanding – Basic

    586.0

    585.4

    Net effect of dilutive stock-based compensation

    1.7

    1.9

    Total average equivalent common shares – Diluted

    587.7

    587.3

    Basic: Earnings per common share

    $ 4.38

    $ 3.95

    Diluted: Earnings per common share

    $ 4.37

    $ 3.94

    1All of our outstanding Serial Preferred Shares, Series B, were redeemed in February 2024.

    See notes to consolidated financial statements.

    The Progressive Corporation and Subsidiaries

    Consolidated Balance Sheets

    (unaudited)

    March 31,

    December 31,

    (millions)

    2025

    2024

    2024

    Assets

    Available-for-sale securities, at fair value:

    Fixed maturities (amortized cost: $77,754, $65,949, and $77,126)

    $ 77,101

    $ 63,630

    $ 75,332

    Short-term investments (amortized cost: $2,595, $1,327, and $615)

    2,595

    1,327

    615

    Total available-for-sale securities

    79,696

    64,957

    75,947

    Equity securities, at fair value:

    Nonredeemable preferred stocks (cost: $608, $931, and $756)

    584

    886

    728

    Common equities (cost: $774, $708, and $745)

    3,384

    3,195

    3,575

    Total equity securities

    3,968

    4,081

    4,303

    Total investments

    83,664

    69,038

    80,250

    Cash and cash equivalents

    195

    155

    143

    Restricted cash and cash equivalents

    12

    13

    11

    Total cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash, and restricted cash equivalents

    207

    168

    154

    Accrued investment income

    584

    464

    594

    Premiums receivable, net of allowance for credit losses of $473, $328, and $460

    16,811

    14,193

    14,369

    Reinsurance recoverables

    4,449

    5,003

    4,765

    Prepaid reinsurance premiums

    306

    210

    349

    Deferred acquisition costs

    2,068

    1,818

    1,961

    Property and equipment, net of accumulated depreciation of $1,490, $1,580, and $1,461

    854

    756

    790

    Net federal deferred income taxes

    860

    1,032

    954

    Other assets

    1,606

    1,446

    1,559

    Total assets

    $ 111,409

    $ 94,128

    $ 105,745

    Liabilities and Shareholders’ Equity

    Unearned premiums

    $ 26,612

    $ 22,907

    $ 23,858

    Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves

    39,822

    34,831

    39,057

    Accounts payable, accrued expenses, and other liabilities

    9,127

    7,689

    10,346

    Debt1

    6,894

    6,890

    6,893

    Total liabilities

    82,455

    72,317

    80,154

    Common shares, $1.00 par value (authorized 900; issued 798, including treasury shares of 212)

    586

    586

    586

    Paid-in capital

    2,160

    2,029

    2,145

    Retained earnings

    26,732

    21,020

    24,283

    Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss):

    Net unrealized gains (losses) on fixed-maturity securities

    (509)

    (1,809)

    (1,408)

    Net unrealized losses on forecasted transactions

    (14)

    (14)

    (14)

    Foreign currency translation adjustment

    (1)

    (1)

    (1)

    Total accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)

    (524)

    (1,824)

    (1,423)

    Total shareholders’ equity

    28,954

    21,811

    25,591

    Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity

    $ 111,409

    $ 94,128

    $ 105,745

    1Consists solely of long-term debt. See Note 4 – Debt for further discussion. See notes to consolidated financial statements.

    The Progressive Corporation and Subsidiaries

    Consolidated Statements of Changes in Shareholders’ Equity

    (unaudited)

    Three Months Ended March 31,

    2025

    2024

    (millions – except per share amounts)

    Serial Preferred Shares, No Par Value

    Balance, beginning of period

    $ 0

    $ 494

    Redemption of Serial Preferred Shares, Series B1

    0

    (494)

    Balance, end of period

    0

    0

    Common Shares, $1.00 Par Value

    Balance, beginning of period

    586

    585

    Treasury shares purchased

    0

    0

    Net restricted equity awards issued/vested

    0

    1

    Balance, end of period

    586

    586

    Paid-In Capital

    Balance, beginning of period

    2,145

    2,013

    Amortization of equity-based compensation

    16

    17

    Treasury shares purchased

    (1)

    (1)

    Net restricted equity awards issued/vested

    0

    (1)

    Reinvested dividends on restricted stock units

    0

    1

    Balance, end of period

    2,160

    2,029

    Retained Earnings

    Balance, beginning of period

    24,283

    18,801

    Net income

    2,567

    2,331

    Treasury shares purchased

    (53)

    (36)

    Cash dividends declared on common shares ($0.10 and $0.10 per share)1

    (59)

    (59)

    Cash dividends declared on Serial Preferred Shares, Series B ($0 and $15.688377 per share)1

    0

    (8)

    Reinvested dividends on restricted stock units

    0

    (1)

    Other, net

    (6)

    (8)

    Balance, end of period

    26,732

    21,020

    Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (Loss)

    Balance, beginning of period

    (1,423)

    (1,616)

    Other comprehensive income (loss)

    899

    (208)

    Balance, end of period

    (524)

    (1,824)

    Total shareholders’ equity

    $ 28,954

    $ 21,811

    1See Note 9 – Dividends for further discussion.

    There are 20 million Serial Preferred Shares authorized. There are 5 million Voting Preference Shares authorized; no such shares have been issued. See notes to consolidated financial statements.

    The Progressive Corporation and Subsidiaries

    Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows

    (unaudited)

    Three Months Ended March 31,

    2025

    2024

    (millions)

    Cash Flows From Operating Activities

    Net income

    $ 2,567

    $ 2,331

    Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities:

    Depreciation

    70

    70

    Net amortization (accretion) of fixed-income securities

    (21)

    (7)

    Amortization of equity-based compensation

    16

    17

    Net realized (gains) losses on securities

    212

    (156)

    Net (gains) losses on disposition of property and equipment

    3

    (2)

    Changes in:

    Premiums receivable

    (2,442)

    (2,235)

    Reinsurance recoverables

    316

    91

    Prepaid reinsurance premiums

    43

    40

    Deferred acquisition costs

    (107)

    (131)

    Income taxes

    667

    609

    Unearned premiums

    2,754

    2,773

    Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves

    765

    442

    Accounts payable, accrued expenses, and other liabilities

    334

    458

    Other, net

    (34)

    (65)

    Net cash provided by operating activities

    5,143

    4,235

    Cash Flows From Investing Activities

    Purchases:

    Fixed maturities

    (17,324)

    (13,288)

    Equity securities

    (86)

    (32)

    Sales:

    Fixed maturities

    14,721

    7,765

    Equity securities

    149

    58

    Maturities, paydowns, calls, and other:

    Fixed maturities

    1,950

    1,855

    Equity securities

    87

    24

    Net (purchases) sales of short-term investments

    (1,964)

    479

    Net change in unsettled security transactions

    172

    62

    Purchases of property and equipment

    (59)

    (50)

    Sales of property and equipment

    13

    3

    Net cash used in investing activities

    (2,341)

    (3,124)

    Cash Flows From Financing Activities

    Dividends paid to common shareholders

    (2,695)

    (498)

    Acquisition of treasury shares for equity award tax liabilities

    (54)

    (37)

    Redemption of preferred shares

    0

    (500)

    Dividends paid to preferred shareholders

    0

    (8)

    Net cash used in financing activities

    (2,749)

    (1,043)

    Increase in cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash, and restricted cash equivalents

    53

    68

    Cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash, and restricted cash equivalents – January 1

    154

    100

    Cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash, and restricted cash equivalents – March 31

    $ 207

    $ 168

    See notes to consolidated financial statements.

    The Progressive Corporation and Subsidiaries Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements(unaudited)

    1. BASIS OF REPORTING AND ACCOUNTING

      The accompanying consolidated financial statements include the accounts of The Progressive Corporation and our wholly owned insurance subsidiaries and non-insurance subsidiaries and affiliates in which we have a controlling financial interest (Progressive).

      The consolidated financial statements reflect all normal recurring adjustments that, in the opinion of management, were necessary for a fair statement of the results for the interim periods presented. The results of operations for the period ended March 31, 2025, are not necessarily indicative of the results expected for the full year. These consolidated financial statements and the notes thereto should be read in conjunction with Progressive’s audited financial statements and accompanying notes included in Exhibit 13 to our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2024 (2024 Annual Report to Shareholders).

      Premiums Receivable

      We perform analyses to evaluate our premiums receivable for expected credit losses. See our 2024 Annual Report to Shareholders for a discussion on our premiums receivable allowance for credit loss policy. The following table summarizes changes in our allowance for credit loss exposure on our premiums receivable:

      Three Months Ended March 31,

      (millions)

      2025

      2024

      Allowance for credit losses, beginning of period

      $ 460 $

      369

      Increase in allowance1

      153

      107

      Write-offs2

      (140)

      (148)

      Allowance for credit losses, end of period

      $ 473 $

      328

      1Represents the incremental increase in other underwriting expenses.

      2Represents the portion of allowance that is reversed when the premiums receivable balances are written off. Premiums receivable balances are written off once we have exhausted our collection efforts.

      Property – Held for Sale

      At March 31, 2025 and 2024, and December 31, 2024, we had held for sale properties of $117 million, $170 million, and $129 million, respectively, which are included in other assets on our consolidated balance sheets.

      New Accounting Standards

      We did not adopt any new accounting standards during the three months ended March 31, 2025, and there were no recently issued accounting standards that are expected to materially impact our financial condition or results of operations.

    2. INVESTMENTS

      The following tables present the composition of our investment portfolio by major security type:

      Net Holding

      % of

      Gross Unrealized

      Gross Unrealized

      Period Gains

      Fair

      Total Fair

      ($ in millions)

      Cost

      Gains

      Losses

      (Losses)

      Value

      Value

      March 31, 2025

      Available-for-sale securities:

      Fixed maturities:

      U.S. government obligations $

      44,523

      $

      391

      $

      (596)

      $

      0

      $

      44,318

      53.0 %

      State and local government obligations

      2,688

      6

      (90)

      0

      2,604

      3.1

      Foreign government obligations

      16

      0

      0

      0

      16

      0

      Corporate and other debt securities

      16,047

      127

      (156)

      (2)

      16,016

      19.2

      Residential mortgage-backed securities

      2,172

      18

      (8)

      1

      2,183

      2.6

      Commercial mortgage-backed securities

      5,144

      5

      (324)

      0

      4,825

      5.8

      Other asset-backed securities

      7,164

      25

      (50)

      0

      7,139

      8.5

      Total fixed maturities

      77,754

      572

      (1,224)

      (1)

      77,101

      92.2

      Short-term investments

      2,595

      0

      0

      0

      2,595

      3.1

      Total available-for-sale securities

      80,349

      572

      (1,224)

      (1)

      79,696

      95.3

      Equity securities:

      Nonredeemable preferred stocks

      608

      0

      0

      (24)

      584

      0.7

      Common equities

      774

      0

      0

      2,610

      3,384

      4.0

      Total equity securities

      1,382

      0

      0

      2,586

      3,968

      4.7

      Total portfolio1$

      81,731

      $

      572

      $

      (1,224)

      $

      2,585

      $

      83,664

      100.0 %

      Net Holding

      % of

      Gross Unrealized

      Gross Unrealized

      Period Gains

      Fair

      Total Fair

      ($ in millions)

      Cost

      Gains

      Losses

      (Losses)

      Value

      Value

      March 31, 2024

      Available-for-sale securities:

      Fixed maturities:

      U.S. government obligations

      $ 39,824

      $ 66

      $ (1,327)

      $ 0

      $ 38,563

      55.8 %

      State and local government obligations

      2,201

      2

      (143)

      0

      2,060

      3.0

      Foreign government obligations

      17

      0

      (1)

      0

      16

      0.1

      Corporate and other debt securities

      13,003

      45

      (330)

      (23)

      12,695

      18.3

      Residential mortgage-backed securities

      390

      0

      (9)

      2

      383

      0.6

      Commercial mortgage-backed securities

      4,368

      3

      (519)

      0

      3,852

      5.6

      Other asset-backed securities

      6,146

      9

      (94)

      0

      6,061

      8.8

      Total fixed maturities

      65,949

      125

      (2,423)

      (21)

      63,630

      92.2

      Short-term investments

      1,327

      0

      0

      0

      1,327

      1.9

      Total available-for-sale securities

      67,276

      125

      (2,423)

      (21)

      64,957

      94.1

      Equity securities:

      Nonredeemable preferred stocks

      931

      0

      0

      (45)

      886

      1.3

      Common equities

      708

      0

      0

      2,487

      3,195

      4.6

      Total equity securities

      1,639

      0

      0

      2,442

      4,081

      5.9

      Total portfolio1

      $ 68,915

      $ 125

      $ (2,423)

      $ 2,421

      $ 69,038

      100.0 %

      Net

      Holding

      % of

      Gross

      Gross

      Period

      Total

      Unrealized

      Unrealized

      Gains

      Fair

      Fair

      ($ in millions)

      Cost

      Gains

      Losses

      (Losses)

      Value

      Value

      December 31, 2024

      Available-for-sale securities:

      Fixed maturities:

      U.S. government obligations $

      47,103

      $

      36

      $

      (1,151)

      $

      0

      $

      45,988

      57.3 %

      State and local government obligations

      2,893

      2

      (117)

      0

      2,778

      3.5

      Foreign government obligations

      16

      0

      0

      0

      16

      0

      Corporate and other debt securities

      14,111

      65

      (215)

      (7)

      13,954

      17.4

      Residential mortgage-backed securities

      1,600

      9

      (11)

      3

      1,601

      2.0

      Commercial mortgage-backed securities

      4,721

      7

      (376)

      0

      4,352

      5.4

      Other asset-backed securities

      6,682

      26

      (65)

      0

      6,643

      8.3

      Total fixed maturities

      77,126

      145

      (1,935)

      (4)

      75,332

      93.9

      Short-term investments

      615

      0

      0

      0

      615

      0.7

      Total available-for-sale securities

      77,741

      145

      (1,935)

      (4)

      75,947

      94.6

      Equity securities:

      Nonredeemable preferred stocks

      756

      0

      0

      (28)

      728

      0.9

      Common equities

      745

      0

      0

      2,830

      3,575

      4.5

      Total equity securities

      1,501

      0

      0

      2,802

      4,303

      5.4

      Total portfolio1

      $ 79,242

      $ 145

      $ (1,935)

      $ 2,798

      $ 80,250

      100.0 %

      1At March 31, 2025 and 2024 and December 31, 2024, we had $297 million, $16 million, and $125 million, respectively, of net unsettled security transactions included in other liabilities.

      The total fair value of the portfolio at March 31, 2025 and 2024 and December 31, 2024, included $3.5 billion, $3.2 billion, and $6.2 billion, respectively, of securities held in a consolidated, non-insurance subsidiary of the holding company, net of unsettled security transactions. A portion of the investments held at December 31, 2024 were sold and proceeds used to pay our common share dividends in January 2025; see Note 9 – Dividends for additional information.

      The March 31, 2024, corporate and other debt securities in our Note 2 – Investments and Note 3 – Fair Value tables include amounts that were previously reported as redeemable preferred stocks. The reclassification was to reflect the accurate categorization based on the underlying features of these securities; see Note 2 – Investments in our 2024 Annual Report to Shareholders for further discussion.

      At March 31, 2025, bonds and certificates of deposit in the principal amount of $785 million were on deposit to meet state insurance regulatory requirements. We did not hold any securities of any one issuer, excluding U.S. government obligations, with an aggregate cost or fair value exceeding 10% of total shareholders’ equity at March 31, 2025 or 2024, or December 31, 2024. At March 31, 2025, we did not hold any debt securities that were non-income producing during the preceding 12 months.

      Hybrid Securities Certain securities in our fixed-maturity portfolio are accounted for as hybrid securities because they contain embedded derivatives that are not deemed to be clearly and closely related to the host investments. These securities are reported at fair value:

      March 31,

      (millions)

      2025

      2024

      December 31, 2024

      Fixed Maturities:

      Corporate and other debt securities

      $ 632

      $ 648

      $

      608

      Residential mortgage-backed securities

      579

      300

      479

      Other asset-backed securities

      0

      10

      1

      Total hybrid securities

      $ 1,211

      $ 958

      $

      1,088

      Since the embedded derivatives (e.g., change-in-control put option, debt-to-equity conversion, or any other feature unrelated to the credit quality or risk of default of the issuer that could impact the amount or timing of our expected future cash flows) do not have observable intrinsic values, we use the fair value option to record the changes in fair value of these securities through income as a component of net realized gains (losses).

      Fixed Maturities The composition of fixed maturities by maturity at March 31, 2025, was:

      (millions)

      Cost

      Fair Value

      Less than one year

      $ 8,532

      $ 8,486

      One to five years

      48,451

      47,974

      Five to ten years

      20,460

      20,326

      Ten years or greater

      311

      315

      Total

      $ 77,754

      $ 77,101

      Asset-backed securities are classified in the maturity distribution table based upon their projected cash flows. All other securities that do not have a single maturity date are reported based upon expected average maturity. Contractual maturities may differ from expected maturities because the issuers of the securities may have the right to call or prepay obligations.

      Gross Unrealized Losses The following tables show the composition of gross unrealized losses by major security type and by the length of time that individual securities have been in a continuous unrealized loss position:

      Less than 12 Months 12 Months or Greater

      ($ in millions)

      Total No. of Sec.

      Total Fair Value

      Gross Unrealized

      Losses

      No. of Sec.

      Fair Value

      Gross Unrealized

      Losses

      No. of Sec.

      Fair Value

      Gross Unrealized

      Losses

      March 31, 2025

      U.S. government obligations

      85

      $ 16,851

      $ (596)

      18

      $ 9,284

      $ (69)

      67

      $ 7,567

      $ (527)

      State and local government obligations

      307

      1,871

      (90)

      70

      445

      (2)

      237

      1,426

      (88)

      Corporate and other debt securities

      210

      4,967

      (156)

      56

      1,352

      (12)

      154

      3,615

      (144)

      Residential mortgage-backed securities

      47

      674

      (8)

      25

      628

      (2)

      22

      46

      (6)

      Commercial mortgage-backed securities

      165

      3,653

      (324)

      22

      597

      (4)

      143

      3,056

      (320)

      Other asset-backed securities

      89

      2,046

      (50)

      46

      1,128

      (3)

      43

      918

      (47)

      Total fixed maturities

      903

      $ 30,062

      $ (1,224)

      237

      $ 13,434

      $ (92)

      666

      $ 16,628

      $ (1,132)

      Less than 12 Months 12 Months or Greater

      Total No. of

      Total Fair

      Gross Unrealized

      No. of

      Fair

      Gross Unrealized

      No. of

      Fair

      Gross Unrealized

      ($ in millions)

      Sec.

      Value

      Losses

      Sec.

      Value

      Losses

      Sec.

      Value

      Losses

      March 31, 2024

      U.S. government obligations

      139

      $ 32,968

      $ (1,327)

      37

      $ 21,635

      $ (295)

      102

      $ 11,333

      $ (1,032)

      State and local government obligations

      330

      1,923

      (143)

      41

      251

      (2)

      289

      1,672

      (141)

      Foreign government obligations

      1

      16

      (1)

      0

      0

      0

      1

      16

      (1)

      Corporate and other debt securities

      366

      8,127

      (330)

      106

      2,369

      (20)

      260

      5,758

      (310)

      Residential mortgage-backed securities

      35

      78

      (9)

      1

      0

      0

      34

      78

      (9)

      Commercial mortgage-backed securities

      181

      3,742

      (519)

      4

      191

      (2)

      177

      3,551

      (517)

      Other asset-backed securities

      193

      3,259

      (94)

      59

      1,303

      (2)

      134

      1,956

      (92)

      Total fixed maturities

      1,245

      $ 50,113

      $ (2,423)

      248

      $ 25,749

      $ (321)

      997

      $ 24,364

      $ (2,102)

      Less than 12 Months 12 Months or Greater

      Total No. of

      Total Fair

      Gross Unrealized

      No. of

      Fair

      Gross Unrealized

      No. of

      Fair

      Gross Unrealized

      ($ in millions)

      Sec.

      Value

      Losses

      Sec.

      Value

      Losses

      Sec.

      Value

      Losses

      December 31, 2024

      U.S. government obligations

      113

      $ 38,782

      $ (1,151)

      39

      $ 30,257

      $ (418)

      74

      $ 8,525

      $ (733)

      State and local government obligations

      379

      2,339

      (117)

      127

      783

      (6)

      252

      1,556

      (111)

      Corporate and other debt securities

      304

      7,034

      (215)

      122

      2,935

      (33)

      182

      4,099

      (182)

      Residential mortgage-backed securities

      40

      428

      (11)

      12

      377

      (4)

      28

      51

      (7)

      Commercial mortgage-backed securities

      153

      3,294

      (376)

      8

      264

      (16)

      145

      3,030

      (360)

      Other asset-backed securities

      84

      1,907

      (65)

      34

      912

      (8)

      50

      995

      (57)

      Total fixed maturities

      1,073

      $ 53,784

      $ (1,935)

      342

      $ 35,528

      $ (485)

      731

      $ 18,256

      $ (1,450)

      A review of the securities in an unrealized loss position indicated that the issuers were current with respect to their interest obligations and that there was no evidence of deterioration of the current cash flow projections that would indicate we would not receive the remaining principal at maturity.

      We had three securities that had their credit ratings downgraded, with a combined fair value of $90 million and an unrealized loss of $5 million as of March 31, 2025. Based on our analysis of these securities, no credit loss allowance was required.

      Allowance For Credit and Uncollectible Losses We are required to measure the amount of potential credit losses for all fixed-maturity securities in an unrealized loss position. We did not record any allowances for credit losses or any write-offs for credit losses deemed to be uncollectible during the first three months of 2025 or 2024, and did not have a material credit loss allowance balance as of March 31, 2025 and 2024, or December 31, 2024. We considered several factors and inputs related to the individual securities as part of our analysis. The methodology and significant inputs used to measure the amount of credit losses in our portfolio included:

      • current performance indicators on the business model or underlying assets (e.g., delinquency rates, foreclosure rates, and default rates);

      • credit support (via current levels of subordination);

      • historical credit ratings; and

      • updated cash flow expectations based upon these performance indicators.

      In order to determine the amount of credit loss, if any, we initially reviewed securities in a loss position to determine whether it was likely that we would be required, or intended, to sell any of the securities prior to the recovery of their respective cost bases (which could be maturity). If we were likely to, or intended to, sell prior to a potential recovery, we would write off the unrealized loss. We did not have an intention to sell any securities in a gross unrealized loss position at March 31, 2025 or March 31, 2024.

      For those securities that we determined we were not likely to, or did not intend to, sell prior to a potential recovery,

      we performed additional analysis to determine if the loss was credit related. For securities subject to credit-related loss, we calculated the net present value (NPV) of the cash flows expected (i.e., expected recovery value) using the current book yield for each security. The NPV was then compared to the security’s current amortized value to determine if a credit loss existed. In the event that the NPV was below the amortized value, and the amount was determined to be material on any specific security, or in the aggregate, a credit loss would be deemed to exist, and either an allowance for credit losses would be created, or if an allowance currently existed, either a recovery of the previous allowance, or an incremental loss, would be recorded to net realized gains (losses) on securities.

      As of March 31, 2025 and 2024, and December 31, 2024, we believe that none of the unrealized losses on our fixed-maturity securities were related to material credit losses on any specific securities, or in the aggregate. We continue to expect all the securities in our fixed-maturity portfolio to pay their principal and interest obligations.

      In addition, we reviewed our accrued investment income outstanding on those securities in an unrealized loss position at March 31, 2025 and 2024, and December 31, 2024, to determine if the accrued interest amounts were uncollectible. Based on our analysis, we believe the issuers have sufficient liquidity and capital reserves to meet their current interest, and future principal obligations and, therefore, did not write off any accrued income as uncollectible at March 31, 2025 and 2024, or

      December 31, 2024.

      Realized Gains (Losses) The components of net realized gains (losses) for the three months ended March 31, were:

      Three Months

      (millions)

      2025

      2024

      Gross realized gains on security sales

      Available-for-sale securities:

      U.S. government obligations

      $ 53

      $ 0

      Corporate and other debt securities

      1

      3

      Total available-for-sale securities

      54

      3

      Equity securities:

      Nonredeemable preferred stocks

      2

      0

      Common equities

      35

      12

      Total equity securities

      37

      12

      Subtotal gross realized gains on security sales

      91

      15

      Gross realized losses on security sales

      Available-for-sale securities:

      U.S. government obligations

      (77)

      (135)

      State and local government obligations

      (2)

      0

      Corporate and other debt securities

      (1)

      (15)

      Commercial mortgage-backed securities

      (4)

      (5)

      Total available-for-sale securities

      (84)

      (155)

      Equity securities:

      Nonredeemable preferred stocks

      (2)

      (6)

      Common equities

      (4)

      0

      Total equity securities

      (6)

      (6)

      Subtotal gross realized losses on security sales

      (90)

      (161)

      Net realized gains (losses) on security sales

      Available-for-sale securities:

      U.S. government obligations

      (24)

      (135)

      State and local government obligations

      (2)

      0

      Corporate and other debt securities

      0

      (12)

      Commercial mortgage-backed securities

      (4)

      (5)

      Total available-for-sale securities

      (30)

      (152)

      Equity securities:

      Nonredeemable preferred stocks

      0

      (6)

      Common equities

      31

      12

      Total equity securities

      31

      6

      Subtotal net realized gains (losses) on security sales

      1

      (146)

      Net holding period gains (losses)

      Hybrid securities

      3

      8

      Equity securities

      (216)

      294

      Subtotal net holding period gains (losses)

      (213)

      302

      Total net realized gains (losses) on securities

      $ (212)

      $ 156

      Realized gains (losses) on securities sold are computed using the first-in-first-out method. During the first three months of 2025 and 2024, the majority of our security sales were U.S. Treasury Notes that were sold for duration management. We also selectively sold securities that we viewed as having less attractive risk/reward profiles during the first three months of 2025 and 2024.

      The following table reflects our holding period realized gains (losses) recognized on equity securities held at the respective quarter ends:

      Three Months

      (millions)

      2025

      2024

      Total net gains (losses) recognized during the period on equity securities

      $ (185) $

      300

      Less: Net gains (losses) recognized on equity securities sold during the period

      31

      6

      Net holding period gains (losses) recognized during the period on equity securities held at period end

      $ (216) $

      294

      Net Investment Income The components of net investment income for the three months ended March 31, were:

      Three Months

      (millions)

      2025

      2024

      Available-for-sale securities:

      Fixed maturities:

      U.S. government obligations

      $ 422 $

      307

      State and local government obligations

      19

      13

      Corporate and other debt securities

      171

      125

      Residential mortgage-backed securities

      25

      5

      Commercial mortgage-backed securities

      53

      46

      Other asset-backed securities

      84

      78

      Total fixed maturities

      774

      574

      Short-term investments

      18

      19

      Total available-for-sale securities

      792

      593

      Equity securities:

      Nonredeemable preferred stocks

      8

      11

      Common equities

      14

      14

      Total equity securities

      22

      25

      Investment income

      814

      618

      Investment expenses

      (7)

      (6)

      Net investment income

      $ 807 $

      612

      On a year-over-year basis, investment income (interest and dividends) increased 32% for the three months ended March 31, 2025, compared to the same period last year. The increase primarily reflects growth in invested assets and an increase in recurring investment book yield. The book yield increase primarily reflected investing new cash from insurance operations, and proceeds from maturing bonds, in higher coupon rate securities.

    3. FAIR VALUE

      We have categorized our financial instruments, based on the degree of subjectivity inherent in the method by which they are valued, into a fair value hierarchy of three levels, as follows:

      • Level 1: Inputs are unadjusted, quoted prices in active markets for identical instruments at the measurement date (e.g., U.S. government obligations, which are continually priced on a daily basis, active exchange-traded equity securities, and certain short-term securities).

      • Level 2: Inputs (other than quoted prices included within Level 1) that are observable for the instrument either directly or indirectly. This includes: (i) quoted prices for similar instruments in active markets, (ii) quoted prices for identical or similar instruments in markets that are not active, (iii) inputs other than quoted prices that are observable for the instruments, and (iv) inputs that

        are derived principally from or corroborated by observable market data by correlation or other means.

      • Level 3: Inputs that are unobservable. Unobservable inputs reflect our subjective evaluation about the assumptions market participants would use in pricing the financial instrument (e.g., certain privately held investments).

        Determining the fair value of the investment portfolio is the responsibility of management. As part of that responsibility, we evaluate whether a market is distressed or inactive in determining the fair value for our portfolio. We review certain market level inputs to evaluate whether sufficient activity, volume, and new issuances exist to create an active market. Based on this evaluation, we concluded that there was sufficient activity related to the sectors and securities for which we obtained valuations.

        The composition of the investment portfolio by major security type and our outstanding debt was:

        Fair Value

        (millions)

        Level 1

        Level 2

        Level 3

        Total

        Cost

        March 31, 2025

        Fixed maturities:

        U.S. government obligations

        $ 44,318

        $ 0

        $ 0

        $ 44,318

        $ 44,523

        State and local government obligations

        0

        2,604

        0

        2,604

        2,688

        Foreign government obligations

        0

        16

        0

        16

        16

        Corporate and other debt securities

        0

        16,011

        5

        16,016

        16,047

        Residential mortgage-backed securities

        0

        2,183

        0

        2,183

        2,172

        Commercial mortgage-backed securities

        0

        4,825

        0

        4,825

        5,144

        Other asset-backed securities

        0

        7,139

        0

        7,139

        7,164

        Total fixed maturities

        44,318

        32,778

        5

        77,101

        77,754

        Short-term investments

        2,595

        0

        0

        2,595

        2,595

        Total available-for-sale securities

        46,913

        32,778

        5

        79,696

        80,349

        Equity securities:

        Nonredeemable preferred stocks

        0

        524

        60

        584

        608

        Common equities:

        Common stocks

        3,344

        0

        9

        3,353

        743

        Other risk investments

        0

        0

        31

        31

        31

        Subtotal common equities

        3,344

        0

        40

        3,384

        774

        Total equity securities

        3,344

        524

        100

        3,968

        1,382

        Total portfolio

        $ 50,257

        $ 33,302

        $ 105

        $ 83,664

        $ 81,731

        Debt

        $ 0

        $ 6,247

        $ 0

        $ 6,247

        $ 6,894

        Fair Value

        (millions)

        Level 1

        Level 2

        Level 3

        Total

        Cost

        March 31, 2024

        Fixed maturities:

        U.S. government obligations

        $ 38,563

        $ 0

        $ 0

        $ 38,563

        $ 39,824

        State and local government obligations

        0

        2,060

        0

        2,060

        2,201

        Foreign government obligations

        0

        16

        0

        16

        17

        Corporate and other debt securities

        0

        12,692

        3

        12,695

        13,003

        Residential mortgage-backed securities

        0

        383

        0

        383

        390

        Commercial mortgage-backed securities

        0

        3,852

        0

        3,852

        4,368

        Other asset-backed securities

        0

        6,061

        0

        6,061

        6,146

        Total fixed maturities

        38,563

        25,064

        3

        63,630

        65,949

        Short-term investments

        1,327

        0

        0

        1,327

        1,327

        Total available-for-sale securities

        39,890

        25,064

        3

        64,957

        67,276

        Equity securities:

        Nonredeemable preferred stocks

        0

        822

        64

        886

        931

        Common equities:

        Common stocks

        3,148

        0

        22

        3,170

        683

        Other risk investments

        0

        0

        25

        25

        25

        Subtotal common equities

        3,148

        0

        47

        3,195

        708

        Total equity securities

        3,148

        822

        111

        4,081

        1,639

        Total portfolio

        $ 43,038

        $ 25,886

        $ 114

        $ 69,038

        $ 68,915

        Debt

        $ 0

        $ 6,298

        $ 0

        $ 6,298

        $ 6,890

        Fair Value

        (millions)

        Level 1

        Level 2

        Level 3

        Total

        Cost

        December 31, 2024

        Fixed maturities:

        U.S. government obligations

        $ 45,988

        $ 0

        $ 0

        $ 45,988

        $ 47,103

        State and local government obligations

        0

        2,778

        0

        2,778

        2,893

        Foreign government obligations

        0

        16

        0

        16

        16

        Corporate and other debt securities

        0

        13,949

        5

        13,954

        14,111

        Residential mortgage-backed securities

        0

        1,601

        0

        1,601

        1,600

        Commercial mortgage-backed securities

        0

        4,352

        0

        4,352

        4,721

        Other asset-backed securities

        0

        6,643

        0

        6,643

        6,682

        Total fixed maturities

        45,988

        29,339

        5

        75,332

        77,126

        Short-term investments

        613

        2

        0

        615

        615

        Total available-for-sale securities

        46,601

        29,341

        5

        75,947

        77,741

        Equity securities:

        Nonredeemable preferred stocks

        0

        676

        52

        728

        756

        Common equities:

        Common stocks

        3,527

        0

        23

        3,550

        720

        Other risk investments

        0

        0

        25

        25

        25

        Subtotal common equities

        3,527

        0

        48

        3,575

        745

        Total equity securities

        3,527

        676

        100

        4,303

        1,501

        Total portfolio

        $ 50,128

        $ 30,017

        $ 105

        $ 80,250

        $ 79,242

        Debt

        $ 0

        $ 6,173

        $ 0

        $ 6,173

        $ 6,893

        Our portfolio valuations, excluding short-term investments, classified as either Level 1 or Level 2 in the above tables are priced exclusively by external sources, including pricing vendors, dealers/market makers, and exchange-quoted prices.

        Our short-term investments classified as Level 1 are highly liquid, actively marketed, and have a very short duration, primarily 90 days or less to redemption. These securities are held at their original cost, adjusted for any accretion of discount, since that value very closely approximates what an active market participant would be willing to pay for such securities. The remainder of our short-term investments are classified as Level 2 and are not priced externally since these securities continually trade at par value. These securities are classified as Level 2 since they are primarily longer-dated securities issued by municipalities that contain either liquidity facilities or mandatory put features within one year.

        At both March 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024, vendor-quoted prices represented 93% of our Level 1 classifications (excluding short-term investments), compared to 92% at March 31, 2024. The securities quoted by vendors in Level 1 primarily represent our holdings in

        U.S. Treasury Notes, which are frequently traded, and the quotes are considered similar to exchange-traded quotes. The balance of our Level 1 pricing comes from quotes obtained directly from trades made on active exchanges.

        At March 31, 2025 and 2024 and December 31, 2024, vendor-quoted prices comprised 100% of our Level 2

        classifications (excluding short-term investments). In our process for selecting a source (e.g., dealer or pricing service) to provide pricing for securities in our portfolio, we reviewed documentation from the sources that detailed the pricing techniques and methodologies used by these sources and determined if their policies adequately considered market activity, either based on specific transactions for the particular security type or based on modeling of securities with similar credit quality, duration, yield, and structure that were recently transacted. Once a source is chosen, we continue to monitor any changes or modifications to their processes by reviewing their documentation on internal controls for pricing and market reviews. We review quality control measures of our sources as they become available to determine if any significant changes have occurred from period to period that might indicate issues or concerns regarding their evaluation or market coverage.

        As part of our pricing procedures, we obtain quotes from more than one source to help us fully evaluate the market price of securities. However, our internal pricing policy is to use a consistent source for individual securities in order to maintain the integrity of our valuation process. Quotes obtained from the sources are not considered binding offers to transact. Under our policy, when a review of the valuation received from our selected source appears to be outside of what is considered market level activity (which is defined as trading at spreads or yields significantly different than those of comparable securities or outside the general sector level movement without a reasonable explanation), we may use an alternate source’s price. To

        the extent we determine that it may be prudent to substitute one source’s price for another, we will contact the initial source to obtain an understanding of the factors that may be contributing to the significant price variance.

        To allow us to determine if our initial source is providing a price that is outside of a reasonable range, we review our portfolio pricing on a weekly basis. When necessary, we challenge prices from our sources when a price provided does not match our expectations based on our evaluation of market trends and activity. Initially, we perform a review of our portfolio by sector to identify securities whose prices appear outside of a reasonable range. We then perform a more detailed review of fair values for securities disclosed as Level 2. We review dealer bids and quotes for these and/or similar securities to determine the market level context for our valuations. We then evaluate inputs relevant for each class of securities disclosed in the preceding hierarchy tables.

        For structured debt securities, including commercial, residential, and other asset-backed securities, we evaluate available market-related data for these and similar securities related to collateral, delinquencies, and defaults for historical trends and reasonably estimable projections, as well as historical prepayment rates and current prepayment assumptions and cash flow estimates. We further stratify each class of structured debt securities into more finite sectors (e.g., planned amortization class, first pay, second pay, senior, and subordinated) and use duration, credit quality, and coupon to determine if the fair value is appropriate.

        For corporate and other debt, nonredeemable preferred stock, and the notes issued by The Progressive Corporation (see Note 4 – Debt), we review securities by duration, credit quality, and coupon, as well as changes in interest rate and credit spread movements within that stratification. The review also includes recent trades, including: volume traded at various levels that establish a market; issuer specific fundamentals; and industry-specific economic news as it comes to light.

        For municipal securities (e.g., general obligations, revenue, and housing), we stratify the portfolio to evaluate securities by type, duration, credit quality, and coupon to review price changes relative to credit spread and interest rate changes. Additionally, we look to economic data as it relates to geographic location as an indication of price-to-call or maturity predictors. For municipal housing securities, we look to changes in cash flow projections, both historical and reasonably estimable projections, to understand yield changes and their effect on valuation.

        For short-term securities, we look at acquisition price relative to the coupon or yield. Since our short-term securities are typically 90 days or less to maturity, with the majority listed in Level 2 being 30 days or less to redemption, we believe that acquisition price is the best estimate of fair value.

        We also review data assumptions as supplied by our sources to determine if that data is relevant to current market conditions. In addition, we independently review each sector for transaction volumes, new issuances, and changes in spreads, as well as the overall movement of interest rates along the yield curve to determine if sufficient activity and liquidity exists to provide a credible source for our market valuations.

        During each valuation period, we create internal estimations of portfolio valuation (performance returns), based on current market-related activity (i.e., interest rate and credit spread movements and other credit-related factors) within each major sector of our portfolio. We compare our internally generated portfolio results with those generated based on quotes we receive externally and research material valuation differences. We compare our results to index returns for each major sector adjusting for duration and credit quality differences to better understand our portfolio’s results. Additionally, we review on a monthly basis our external sales transactions and compare the actual final market sales prices to previous market valuation prices. This review provides us further validation that our pricing sources are providing market level prices, since we are able to explain significant price changes (i.e., greater than 2%) as known events occur in the marketplace and affect a particular security’s price at sale.

        This analysis provides us with additional comfort regarding the source’s process, the quality of its review, and its willingness to improve its analysis based on feedback from clients. We believe this effort helps ensure that we are reporting the most representative fair values for our securities.

        After all the valuations are received and our review of Level 2 securities is complete, if the inputs used by vendors are determined to not contain sufficient observable market information, we will reclassify the affected securities to Level 3.

        Except as described below, our Level 3 securities are priced externally; however, due to several factors (e.g., nature of the securities, level of activity, and lack of similar securities trading to obtain observable market level inputs), these valuations are more subjective in nature.

        To the extent we receive prices from external sources (e.g., broker and valuation firm) for the Level 3 securities, we review those prices for reasonableness using internally developed assumptions and then compare our derived prices to the prices received from the external sources.

        Based on our review, all prices received from external sources remained unadjusted.

        If we do not receive prices from an external source, we perform an internal fair value comparison, which includes a review and analysis of market-comparable securities, to determine if fair value changes are needed. Based on this analysis, certain private equity investments included in the

        Level 3 category remain valued at cost or were priced using a recent transaction as the basis for fair value. At least annually, these private equity investments are priced by an external source.

        Our Level 3 other risk investments include securities accounted for under the equity method of accounting and, therefore, are not subject to fair value reporting. Since these securities represent less than 0.1% of our total portfolio, we include them in our Level 3 disclosures and report the activity from these investments as “other” changes in the summary of changes in fair value table and

        categorize these securities as “pricing exemption securities” in the quantitative information table.

        During the first three months of 2025 and for the full year of 2024, there were no material assets or liabilities measured at fair value on a nonrecurring basis.

        Due to the relative size of the Level 3 securities’ fair values, compared to the total portfolio’s fair value, any changes in pricing methodology would not have a significant change in valuation that would materially impact net or comprehensive income.

        The following tables provide a summary of changes in fair value associated with Level 3 assets for the three months ended March 31, 2025 and 2024:

        Fair Value at December 31,

        Calls/ Maturities/ Paydowns/

        Level 3 Fair Value

        Net Realized (Gain)/Loss

        Change in

        Net Transfers

        Fair Value at

        (millions)

        Fixed maturities:

        2024

        Other Purchases Sales

        on Sales

        Valuation1

        In (Out)

        March 31, 2025

        Corporate and other debt securities

        $ 5

        $ 0

        $ 0

        $ 0

        $ 0

        $ 0

        $ 0

        $ 5

        Equity securities:

        Nonredeemable preferred stocks

        52

        0

        8

        0

        0

        0

        0

        60

        Common equities:

        Common stocks

        23

        0

        0

        0

        0

        (14)

        0

        9

        Other risk investments

        25

        6

        0

        0

        0

        0

        0

        31

        Total Level 3 securities

        $ 105

        $ 6

        $ 8

        $ 0

        $ 0

        $ (14) $

        0

        $ 105

        Fair Value at December 31,

        Calls/ Maturities/ Paydowns/

        Level 3 Fair Value

        Net Realized (Gain)/Loss

        Change in

        Net Transfers

        Fair Value at

        (millions)

        Fixed maturities:

        2023

        Other Purchases Sales

        on Sales

        Valuation1

        In (Out)

        March 31, 2024

        Corporate and other debt securities $ 3 $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 $ 3

Equity securities:

Nonredeemable preferred stocks

64

0

0

0

0

0

0

64

Common equities:

Common stocks

22

0

0

0

0

0

0

22

Other risk investments

21

4

0

0

0

0

0

25

Total Level 3 securities

$ 110

$ 4

$ 0

$ 0

$ 0

$ 0

$ 0

$ 114

1For fixed maturities, these amounts are included in accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) on our consolidated balance sheets. For equity securities, these amounts are included in our consolidated statements of comprehensive income.

The following tables provide a summary of the quantitative information about Level 3 fair value measurements for our applicable securities at March 31, 2025 and 2024, and December 31, 2024:

Quantitative Information about Level 3 Fair Value Measurements

($ in millions)

at

Fair Value March 31, 2025

Valuation Technique

Unobservable Input

Range of Input Values

Increase (Decrease)

Weighted Average Increase (Decrease)

Fixed maturities:

Market

Weighted average market capitalization

0.7% to

Corporate and other debt securities

$

5

comparables

price change %

0.8%

0.8 %

Equity securities:

Market

Weighted average market capitalization

(11.8)% to

Nonredeemable preferred stocks

60

comparables

price change %

16.1%

6.4 %

Market

Weighted average market capitalization

(36.8)% to

Common stocks

9

comparables

price change %

41.5%

6.7 %

Subtotal Level 3 securities

74

Pricing exemption securities

31

Total Level 3 securities

$

105

Quantitative Information about Level 3 Fair Value Measurements

($ in millions)

at

Fair Value March 31, 2024

Valuation Technique

Unobservable Input

Range of Input Values

Increase (Decrease)

Weighted Average Increase (Decrease)

Fixed maturities:

Market

Weighted average market capitalization

(2.3)% to

Corporate and other debt securities

$

3

comparables

price change %

1.2%

(0.1)%

Equity securities:

Market

Weighted average market capitalization

3.4% to

Nonredeemable preferred stocks

64

comparables

price change %

28.4%

22.6 %

Market

Weighted average market capitalization

(37.9)% to

Common stocks

22

comparables

price change %

39.6%

3.4 %

Subtotal Level 3 securities

89

Pricing exemption securities

25

Total Level 3 securities

$

114

Quantitative Information about Level 3 Fair Value Measurements

($ in millions)

Fair Value at December 31,

2024

Valuation Technique

Unobservable Input

Range of Input Values

Increase (Decrease)

Weighted Average Increase (Decrease)

Fixed maturities:

Market

Weighted average market capitalization

(1.4)% to

Corporate and other debt securities

$

5

comparables

price change %

(1.3)%

(1.4)%

Equity securities:

Market

Weighted average market capitalization

(14.1)% to

Nonredeemable preferred stocks

52

comparables

price change %

6.0%

(2.7)%

Market

Weighted average market capitalization

(41.3)% to

Common stocks

23

comparables

price change %

95.9%

6.0 %

Subtotal Level 3 securities

80

Pricing exemption securities

25

Total Level 3 securities

$

105

  1. DEBT

    Debt at each of the balance sheet periods consisted of the following Senior Notes:

    ($ in millions) March 31, 2025 March 31, 2024 December 31, 2024

    Principal

    Amount Interest Rate

    Issuance Date

    Maturity Date

    Carrying

    Value

    Fair Value

    Carrying

    Value

    Fair Value

    Carrying

    Value

    Fair Value

    $ 500 2.45 %

    August 2016

    2027

    $ 499 $

    484

    $ 499 $

    469

    $ 499 $

    479

    500

    2.50

    March 2022

    2027

    499 483

    498 468

    499 479

    300

    6 5/8

    March 1999

    2029

    298 322

    298 324

    298 320

    550

    4.00

    October 2018

    2029

    548 542

    547 532

    547 534

    500

    3.20

    March 2020

    2030

    498 470

    497 456

    498 462

    500

    3.00

    March 2022

    2032

    497 447

    496 436

    497 439

    400

    6.25

    November 2002

    2032

    397 434

    397 434

    397 430

    500

    4.95

    May 2023

    2033

    497 503

    497 499

    497 495

    350

    4.35

    April 2014

    2044

    347 300

    347 313

    347 298

    400

    3.70

    January 2015

    2045

    396 310

    396 328

    396 308

    850

    4.125

    April 2017

    2047

    842 695

    842 719

    842 684

    600

    4.20

    March 2018

    2048

    591 493

    591 520

    591 490

    500

    3.95

    March 2020

    2050

    491 393

    491 410

    491 386

    500

    3.70

    March 2022

    2052

    494 371

    494 390

    494 369

    Total

    $ 6,894 $ 6,247

    $ 6,890 $ 6,298

    $ 6,893 $ 6,173

    There was no short-term debt outstanding as of the end of all periods presented.

    The Progressive Corporation has a line of credit with PNC Bank, National Association (PNC), in the maximum principal amount of $300 million. See the 2024 Annual Report to Shareholders for a discussion of the terms of this line of credit. We had no borrowings under the line of credit that was available during the periods presented.

  2. INCOME TAXES

    The effective tax rate for the three months ended March 31, 2025 and 2024, was 20.7%.

    Deferred income taxes reflect the tax effects of temporary differences between the financial statement carrying amounts and the tax bases of assets and liabilities.

    Although realization of the deferred tax assets is not assured, management believes that it is more likely than not that the deferred tax assets will be realized based on our expectation that we will be able to fully utilize the deductions that are ultimately recognized for tax purposes and, therefore, no valuation allowance was needed at March 31, 2025 and 2024, and December 31, 2024.

  3. LOSS AND LOSS ADJUSTMENT EXPENSE RESERVES

    We had net current income taxes payable of $838 million,

    $962 million, and $26 million at March 31, 2025 and 2024, and December 31, 2024, respectively, which were reported in accounts payable, accrued expenses, and other liabilities on our consolidated balance sheets. The balance may fluctuate from period to period due to normal timing differences.

    At March 31, 2025 and 2024, and December 31, 2024, we have not recorded any unrecognized tax benefits or related interest and penalties.

    Activity in the loss and loss adjustment expense reserves is summarized as follows:

    March 31,

    (millions)

    2025

    2024

    Balance at January 1

    $ 39,057

    $ 34,389

    Less reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses

    4,487

    4,789

    Net balance at January 1

    34,570

    29,600

    Incurred related to:

    Current year

    13,082

    10,983

    Prior years

    (278)

    (11)

    Total incurred

    12,804

    10,972

    Paid related to:

    Current year

    4,881

    4,422

    Prior years

    6,804

    5,971

    Total paid

    11,685

    10,393

    Net balance at March 31

    35,689

    30,179

    Plus reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses

    4,133

    4,652

    Balance at March 31

    $ 39,822

    $ 34,831

    We experienced favorable reserve development of $278 million and $11 million during the first three months of 2025 and 2024, respectively, which is reflected as “incurred related to prior years in the table above.

    First Quarter 2025

    • The favorable prior year reserve development included approximately $180 million attributable to accident year 2024,

      $90 million to accident year 2023, and the remainder to accident years 2022 and prior.

    • Our personal auto products incurred about $260 million of favorable loss and loss adjustment expense (LAE) reserve development, with the agency and direct auto businesses each contributing about half. The favorable development was primarily due to lower than anticipated loss severity and frequency in Florida.

    • Our personal property products experienced about $30 million of favorable development, primarily attributable to favorable development on 2024 catastrophe events.

      First Quarter 2024

    • The favorable prior year reserve development included approximately $50 million of favorable development attributable to accident year 2023 and $15 million to accident year 2022; partially offset by unfavorable development attributable to accident years 2021 and prior.

    • Our personal auto products incurred about $100 million of favorable loss and LAE reserve development, in part due to lower than anticipated frequency in Florida following tort reform that passed in the first quarter 2023, with about 60% attributable to the agency auto business and the balance in the direct auto business.

    • Our Commercial Lines business experienced about $70 million of unfavorable development, primarily driven by higher than anticipated severity in our commercial auto business for California and New York.

  4. SUPPLEMENTAL CASH FLOW INFORMATION

    Cash and cash equivalents include bank demand deposits and daily overnight reverse repurchase commitments of funds held in bank demand deposit accounts by certain subsidiaries. The amount of overnight reverse repurchase commitments, which are not considered part of the investment portfolio, held by these subsidiaries at

    March 31, 2025 and 2024, and December 31, 2024, were

    $78 million, $108 million, and $127 million, respectively. Restricted cash and restricted cash equivalents include collateral held against unpaid deductibles and cash that is restricted to pay flood claims under the National Flood Insurance Program’s “Write Your Own” program, for which certain subsidiaries are participants.

    Non-cash activity included the following in the respective periods:

    Three Months Ended March 31,

    (millions) 2025 2024

    Operating lease liabilities240 28

Common share dividends1$ 59 $ 59

1Declared but unpaid. See Note 9 – Dividends for further discussion.

2From obtaining right-of-use assets.

In the respective periods, we paid the following:

(millions)

2025

2024

Interest $ 88 $ 88

Three Months Ended March 31,

Operating lease liabilities 22 22

  1. SEGMENT INFORMATION

    Our Personal Lines segment writes insurance for personal autos, special lines products (e.g., recreational vehicles, such as motorcycles, RVs, and watercraft), personal residential property insurance for homeowners and renters, umbrella insurance, and flood insurance through the “Write Your Own” program for the National Flood Insurance Program. Property information for the three months ended March 31, 2024, was recast to conform to the current year presentation; see Note 10 – Segment Information in our 2024 Annual Report to Shareholders for further discussion.

    Our Commercial Lines segment writes auto-related liability and physical damage insurance, business-related

    general liability and commercial property insurance predominately for small businesses, and workers’ compensation insurance primarily for the transportation industry.

    Our service businesses provide insurance-related services, including serving as an agent for homeowners, general liability, and workers’ compensation insurance, among other products, through programs in our direct Personal Lines and Commercial Lines businesses. All segment revenues are generated from external customers; all intercompany transactions are eliminated in consolidation.

    Following are the operating results for the respective periods:

    (millions)

    Personal Lines

    Commercial Lines

    Other1

    Companywide

    Three Months Ended March 31, 2025

    Net premiums earned

    $ 16,710

    $ 2,699

    $

    0

    $ 19,409

    Fees and other revenues

    249

    38

    0

    287

    Total underwriting revenue

    16,959

    2,737

    0

    19,696

    Losses and loss adjustment expenses:

    Losses (excluding catastrophe losses)

    9,109

    1,559

    0

    10,668

    Catastrophe losses

    454

    5

    0

    459

    Loss adjustment expenses

    1,390

    287

    0

    1,677

    Total losses and loss adjustment expenses

    10,953

    1,851

    0

    12,804

    Underwriting expenses:

    Distribution expenses2

    2,348

    286

    0

    2,634

    Other underwriting expenses3

    1,275

    262

    4

    1,541

    Total underwriting expenses

    3,623

    548

    4

    4,175

    Pretax underwriting profit (loss)

    $ 2,383 $ 338 $ (4)

    2,717

    Investment profit (loss)4

    595

    Service businesses profit (loss)

    (6)

    Interest expense

    (70)

    Total pretax profit (loss)

    $ 3,236

    (millions)

    Personal Lines

    Commercial Lines

    Other1

    Companywide

    Three Months Ended March 31, 2024

    Net premiums earned

    $ 13,591

    $ 2,558

    $

    0

    $ 16,149

    Fees and other revenues

    196

    40

    0

    236

    Total underwriting revenue

    13,787

    2,598

    0

    16,385

    Losses and loss adjustment expenses:

    Losses (excluding catastrophe losses)

    7,563

    1,593

    (2)

    9,154

    Catastrophe losses

    338

    9

    0

    347

    Loss adjustment expenses

    1,197

    274

    0

    1,471

    Total losses and loss adjustment expenses

    9,098

    1,876

    (2)

    10,972

    Underwriting expenses:

    Distribution expenses2

    1,560

    274

    0

    1,834

    Other underwriting expenses3

    1,088

    239

    2

    1,329

    Total underwriting expenses

    2,648

    513

    2

    3,163

    Pretax underwriting profit (loss)

    $ 2,041 $ 209 $ 0

    2,250

    Investment profit (loss)4

    768

    Service businesses profit (loss)

    (8)

    Interest expense

    (70)

    Total pretax profit (loss)

    $ 2,940

    1Includes other underwriting businesses and run-off operations.

    2Includes policy acquisition costs, agents’ contingent commissions, and advertising costs attributable to our operating segments. A portion of our companywide advertising costs are also related to our service businesses.

    3Primarily consists of employee compensation and benefit costs, and the increase in the allowance for credit loss exposure on our premiums receivable.

    4Calculated as recurring investment income plus total net realized gains (losses) on securities, less investment expenses.

    Our management uses underwriting margin and combined ratio as primary measures of underwriting profitability. The underwriting margin is the pretax underwriting profit (loss) expressed as a percentage of net premiums earned. Pretax underwriting profit (loss) is calculated as net premiums earned plus fees and other revenues, less: (i) losses and loss adjustment expenses; (ii) policy acquisition costs; and (iii) other underwriting expenses. Combined ratio is the complement of the underwriting margin. Fees and other revenues are netted against either loss adjustment expenses or underwriting expenses in the ratio calculations, based on the underlying activity that generated the revenue. Following are the underwriting margins and combined ratios for our underwriting operations for the respective periods:

    Three Months Ended March 31,

    2025

    2024

    Underwriting

    Margin

    Combined

    Ratio

    Underwriting

    Margin

    Combined

    Ratio

    Personal Lines

    14.3 %

    85.7

    15.0 %

    85.0

    Commercial Lines

    12.5

    87.5

    8.2

    91.8

    Total underwriting operations

    14.0

    86.0

    13.9

    86.1

  2. DIVIDENDS

    Following is a summary of our common and preferred share dividends that were declared and/or paid during the three months ended March 31, 2025 and 2024:

    (millions – except per share amounts) Amount

    Declared

    Payable

    Per Share

    Accrued/Paid1

    Common – Annual-Variable Dividends:

    December 2024

    January 2025

    $ 4.50

    $ 2,637

    December 2023

    Common – Quarterly Dividends:

    January 2024

    0.75

    439

    March 2025

    April 2025

    0.10

    59

    December 2024

    January 2025

    0.10

    58

    March 2024

    April 2024

    0.10

    59

    December 2023

    Preferred Dividends:

    January 2024

    0.10

    59

    January 20242

    February 2024

    15.688377

    8

    1The accrual is based on an estimate of shares outstanding as of the record date and recorded as a component of accounts payable, accrued expenses, and other liabilities on our consolidated balance sheets until paid.

    2In February 2024, we redeemed all of our outstanding Serial Preferred Shares, Series B.

  3. OTHER COMPREHENSIVE INCOME (LOSS)

The components of other comprehensive income (loss), including reclassification adjustments by income statement line item, were as follows:

Components of Changes in Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (after tax)

Total net

(millions)

Pretax total accumulated

other comprehensive income (loss)

Total tax (provision)

benefit

After tax total accumulated

other comprehensive income (loss)

unrealized

gains (losses)

on securities

Net unrealized losses on forecasted transactions

Foreign currency translation adjustment

Balance at December 31, 2024 $ (1,809) $ 386 $ (1,423) $ (1,408) $ (14) $ (1)

Other comprehensive income (loss) before reclassifications:

Investment securities

1,108

(233)

875

875

0

0

Total other comprehensive income (loss) before reclassifications

1,108

(233)

875

875

0

0

Less: Reclassification adjustment for amounts realized in net income by income statement line item:

Net realized gains (losses) on securities

(30)

6

(24)

(24)

0

0

Total reclassification adjustment for amounts realized in net income

(30)

6

(24)

(24)

0

0

Total other comprehensive income (loss)

1,138

(239)

899

899

0

0

Balance at March 31, 2025

$ (671) $

147

$ (524) $

(509) $

(14) $

(1)

Components of Changes in Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (after tax)

(millions)

Pretax total accumulated

other comprehensive income (loss)

Total tax (provision)

benefit

After tax total accumulated

other comprehensive income (loss)

Total net unrealized

gains (losses) on securities

Net unrealized losses on forecasted transactions

Foreign currency translation adjustment

Balance at December 31, 2023 $ (2,053) $ 437 $ (1,616) $ (1,601) $ (14) $ (1)

Other comprehensive income (loss) before reclassifications:

Investment securities

(414)

87

(327)

(327)

0

0

Total other comprehensive income (loss) before reclassifications

(414)

87

(327)

(327)

0

0

Less: Reclassification adjustment for amounts realized in net income by income statement line item:

Net realized gains (losses) on securities

(151)

32

(119)

(119)

0

0

Total reclassification adjustment for amounts realized in net income

(151)

32

(119)

(119)

0

0

Total other comprehensive income (loss)

(263)

55

(208)

(208)

0

0

Balance at March 31, 2024

$ (2,316) $

492

$ (1,824) $

(1,809) $

(14) $

(1)

In an effort to manage interest rate risk, we entered into forecasted transactions on certain of Progressive’s debt issuances. During the next 12 months, we expect to reclassify $1 million (pretax) into interest expense, related to net unrealized losses on forecasted transactions (see Note 4 – Debt in our 2024 Annual Report to Shareholders for further discussion).





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